The mood of the country has turned sour, according to our latest Newshub-Reid Research poll - and voters want a change of Government.
The numbers show Labour's winter of discontent has seeped through to spring as National and ACT have streaked well ahead of Labour and the Greens and could comfortably form a Government.
Labour has dropped a whopping 5.9 points down to 32.3 percent - its lowest result since Jacinda Ardern took the helm of the Labour Party in 2017.
National has kept its head above 40 percent, but only just. It's up 0.2 points to 40.7 percent.
ACT, meanwhile, has regathered some steam at 10 percent, up 3.6 points. The Greens have sprung up 1.1 points to 9.5 percent.
It means the left and right blocs are now poles apart. National and ACT together are on 50.7 percent while Labour and the Greens trail back on 41.8 percent.
Among the other minor parties, only a few are worth a mention.
Te Pāti Māori has dropped back to 1.9 percent, down 0.6 points, and The Opportunities Party is just below them on 1.2 percent, up 0.3 points.
But look who is back on the rise - New Zealand First has doubled its support to 3.3 percent, up 1.6 points. That's not far off the 5 percent threshold needed to bring Winston Peters back into Parliament.
These Newshub-Reid Research poll results reveal a wildly different Parliament to what New Zealand has currently. Sixty-one seats are needed to form a Government.
On these numbers, Labour gets 41 seats. If you add the Greens' 12 seats, the two parties have 53 seats - nowhere near to power. If Te Pāti Māori get two - because they retain an electorate - it still only gets the left bloc to 55 seats.
However, National's 52 seats plus ACT's 13 would give the right a clear majority of 65 seats.
That puts National leader Christopher Luxon in pole position to become New Zealand's next Prime Minister, Ardern out in the cold.
The Newshub-Reid Research poll was conducted between 25 October – 3 November 2022 with a margin of error of 3.1 percent.
