Roy Morgan poll November 2021
The November 2021 Roy Morgan is out.
Party Vote
- Labour 36.0% (-3.5% from October)
- National 26.5% (+0.5%)
- Greens 10.5% (nc)
- ACT 17.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 3.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 2.5% (nc)
Seats
- Labour 46 (-19 from election)
- National 34 (+1)
- Greens 14 (+4)
- ACT 22 (+12)
- Maori 4 (+2)
Governments
- Labour/Green 60/120
- National/ACT 56/120
Direction
- Right 46.0% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 44.5% (+6.0%)
This is the first poll since the 2020 election that doesn’t have Labour and Greens able to form a Government. They would need the support of the Maori Party to govern.
The net country direction is on the verge of going negative which is a huge change from the beginning of 2021 when it was a massive +54%.
The gap between the CL and CR varies by gender and age. The gap is:
- All voters +2.5%
- Women +17.5%
- Men -13%
- Women under 50 +32%
- Women over 50 +0%
- Men under 50 -12.5%
- Men over 50 -13.5%
So the CR has large leads with both young and older men. With women, older women are not split equally between Lab/Gre and Nat/ACT while younger women go massively for Lab/Gre – which is what is keeping them competitive.
Note that this poll was conducted before the election of the new National leader.