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Curtain falling on Reserve Bank's Funding for Lending Programme which has continued providing economic stimulus as the OCR has been hiked 400 basis points

Banking / news
Curtain falling on Reserve Bank's Funding for Lending Programme which has continued providing economic stimulus as the OCR has been hiked 400 basis points
[updated]
Orr
Adrian Orr cartoon by Ross Payne.

The curtain falls on the Reserve Bank's controversial Funding for Lending (FLP) Programme today (Tuesday), with banks having borrowed $19.021 billion through it.

The FLP was introduced in December 2020 with the aim of lowering interest rates and encouraging households and businesses to spend and invest.

Offering three-year loans, the FLP allows eligible banks to borrow directly from the Reserve Bank at the Official Cash Rate (OCR) with the borrowing rate adjusting over the term of the transaction if the OCR changes. The OCR was 0.25% when the FLP launched and is 4.25% now.

As of Friday, December 2, banks had borrowed $19.021 billion via the FLP.

A funding source for mortgage lending banks

Eligible banks have been free to use FLP money as they choose, with up to $28 billion initially available to them. Banks' initial potential allocation was 4% of their eligible loans as of 31 October 2020, able to be drawn down between 7 December 2020 and 6 June 2022.  An additional allocation may be drawn down by December 6 equal to 50 cents for every dollar of net growth in eligible loans from 1 November 2020 up to a maximum of 2% of eligible loans as at 31 October 2020. 

In August Reserve Bank (RBNZ) Assistant Governor Karen Silk told interest.co.nz about another $8.5 billion was available to banks by the December 6 deadline, meaning around $21 billion could be borrowed via the FLP in total.

The way the FLP was designed means it was set up for residential mortgage lending banks, as highlighted by Heartland Bank CEO Chris Flood last year.  Flood said Heartland had talked to the Reserve Bank about using motor vehicle assets as collateral but the central bank opted against this. Heartland hasn't borrowed through the FLP. Meanwhile, building societies and credit unions were disappointed to be excluded from the FLP.

FLP funding is structured as floating rate repurchase transactions priced at the OCR. Eligible securities banks can pledge as collateral for FLP money include Residential Mortgage Backed Securities, New Zealand Government Securities, and Kauri debt issues.

What individual banks have borrowed

So which banks have tapped into the FLP and how much has each borrowed? The figures, as of Monday, are detailed below.

A spokeswoman for ANZ NZ, the country's biggest bank, says it has borrowed $3.5 billion through the FLP, which is less than the total amount available to ANZ.

"The Funding for Lending Programme has been an effective tool for providing monetary stimulus. ANZ NZ has offered significant discounts across a range of products this year; we have now lent more than $4 billion under our Blueprint to Build initiative and seen good demand for our Good Energy Home Loan that was launched in July with a fixed rate for three years of 1.00%.  We’ve lent far more under these products than the $3.5 billion we have borrowed under the Funding for Lending Programme," the ANZ NZ spokeswoman says.

An ASB spokeswoman says the bank has borrowed $5 billion out of a total available allocation of $5.7 billion. In August ASB CEO Vittoria Shorrt told interest.co.nz ASB would use the full $5.7 billion and maintained the bank wasn't making money from the lending it's doing with FLP funding.  

In May 2021 ASB launched its Back My Build home loan offer, lending to borrowers building houses at a floating interest rate of 1.79%, which it said would be funded with FLP money. The Back My Build interest rate's now 5.54%. In June 2021 ANZ NZ followed with Blueprint to Build with a 1.68% rate for new builds. It's now at 5.23%.

"Our lending products linked to FLP have been enormously successful and helped our customers build homes, support sustainable transition and begin key infrastructure projects. Overall lending growth expectations have been lower than previously anticipated. ASB has remained committed to only drawing FLP for supporting these initiatives, and passing on the benefit to our customers," the ASB spokeswoman says.

A BNZ spokeswoman says the bank has accessed $3.449 billion of the $5.097 billion in FLP funding available.

"It allowed us to pass the benefits of lower interest rates on to New Zealanders through initiatives like our BNZ Good To Grow programme, Green business loans and green home loan top-up, to support New Zealanders’ ambitions to improve sustainability, productivity and growth, whether at home or in their businesses," the BNZ spokeswoman says.

A Westpac NZ spokesman says the bank doesn’t comment on FLP drawdowns. However, its latest general disclosure statement says Westpac NZ had drawn down $3.871 billion through the FLP as of September 30.

Kiwibank has used its full allocation of $1.385 billion for general funding, a Kiwibank spokeswoman says.

"The benefit of lower cost funds was passed through to both new and existing Kiwibank customers in the form of lower lending rates which helped to boost confidence during uncertain times."

A spokeswoman for The Co-operative Bank says it has utilised its full FLP allocation of $155 million, which has supported home lending, especially to first home buyers.

An SBS Bank spokeswoman says SBS has borrowed its total allocation of $246 million through the FLP, using this "to provide additional support to first home buyers." SBS has pledged $316 million worth of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), debt-based securities similar to bonds backed by the interest paid on loans, as collateral.

A TSB spokeswoman says TSB hasn't accessed the FLP.

"TSB cannot economically access the FLP as TSB doesn’t have internal securitisation. The way the FLP is structured as a secured transaction would increase TSB’s cash position but decrease our unencumbered liquid assets, so from a balance sheet perspective the effect on our funds would be neutral," the TSB spokeswoman says.

FLP 'still providing some stimulus'

The FLP is a stimulatory monetary policy tool that has remained in use while the Reserve Bank has been increasing the OCR by 400 basis points. Speaking in a recent episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Silk noted the FLP funding has been cheaper for banks than alternatives, but said its scale in the context of all bank borrowing is small. 

"The Funding for Lending Programme provides funding to banks at the Official Cash Rate. So as the OCR is increasing so does the cost to the banks. Compared to the wholesale markets it is comparatively cheaper, but it represents less than 2% of total bank funding. So it's at a very marginal level still providing some stimulus and hold rates back a little bit. We take that into account when we're setting the OCR levels. Our estimate is that it is adding roughly five basis points to the OCR track," Silk said.

The FLP hasn't been good for savers and it's not designed to be given the aim of reducing banks’ funding costs including the deposit rates they pay savers. In its February Monetary Policy Statement the Reserve Bank noted; "Term deposit interest rates fell to historical lows in 2020, in part due to monetary policy actions including the Funding for Lending Programme."

When launching the FLP the Reserve Bank said it would make banks less reliant on more expensive deposits and wholesale borrowing, thus lowering their overall funding costs. Banks could then pass these reductions on to their borrower customers through lower mortgage and business lending rates.

However, by the time it launched the FLP was arguably already a solution looking for a problem, with the most dire economic predictions in the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic not coming to fruition. Earlier government and Reserve Bank support measures including the Wage Subsidy, OCR reduction to just 0.25% and Reserve Bank quantitative easing, or government bond buying programme, were already stimulating economic activity. Asset prices were surging with Real Estate Institute of New Zealand data showing national median house prices up 18.5% year-on-year to a new record median high of $749,000 in November 2020.

In July a Reserve Bank spokesman told interest.co.nz the FLP has worked broadly as intended and as expected.

"We can best observe this by considering the spread between household/business lending rates and wholesale interest rates, i.e. swap rates. Household and business lending rates have been increasing recently, consistent with the tightening of monetary policy, however the spread between these rates and wholesale interest rates is still low, relative to most of the post-Global Financial Crisis period. This is partially, but not entirely, due to FLP. Ample domestic and global liquidity, as a consequence of monetary and fiscal stimulus measures in New Zealand and abroad has also provided a mostly accommodative funding environment for banks, and other users of capital markets, in the past 18 months," the Reserve Bank spokesman said.

In one of its Bulletin articles in August 2021, the RBNZ said one and two-year mortgage rates dropped between when the FLP was signalled and early 2021, despite swap rates rising substantially, which normally would increase banks’ funding costs, over the corresponding period.

"This development suggests the FLP has been effective at holding down banks’ funding costs. An important feature of the FLP is that it was effective at reducing bank funding costs and retail rates even before banks drew down on FLP funding. This is due to the relative strength of the FLP’s indirect influence on bank funding costs. The indirect influence reduced funding costs for all deposit takers, not just the banks eligible to drawdown on the FLP," the RBNZ said last August.

FLP 'could've been more flexible'

In the RBNZ's own five-year review of its monetary policy released last month, it acknowledged the FLP could have been more flexible.

"Recognising the importance of being credible and consistent, the [RBNZ Monetary Policy] Committee kept the FLP in place as a source of funding for commercial banks until December 2022, as originally specified," the RBNZ says.

"However, because economic activity improved faster than anticipated, in hindsight, the FLP could have been designed with more flexibility."

"For example, the inclusion of an early termination clause with reasonable notice in the event of changed economic conditions could have been included, although such an amendment could potentially reduce the effectiveness of the FLP."

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59 Comments

Basically FLP serve the purpose of supporting and promoting Housing Ponzi, which it was suppose to 

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FLP was set up for 'investing'.  Housing is not investing, it is consumption.  An interest rate of 0.25% had speculators in a frenzy.  All that money spent and none 'invested in productivity.  Not a good business model for the real economy.

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Investment = the action or process of investing money for profit.

Looks like housing is investing if your timing is right.

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Looks like poker is investing if your timing is right.

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You been chewing on the floorboards again?..  I thought it was borer, but its just a boomer. :)

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The famous line from the PM. circa 2020

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern says she would like to see small increases in houses prices, acknowledging most people “expect” the value of their most valuable asset to keep rising.

https://www.interest.co.nz/property/108301/pm-jacinda-ardern-says-susta…

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Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern says she would like to see small increases in houses prices, acknowledging most people “expect” the value of their most valuable asset to keep rising.

I remember this and pointed out the logical fallacy at the time. At the same time, she was promising to build affordable housing. Be very wary of people who claim to be everything to everyone. The sheeple were duped. 

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The sheeple were duped.

To be fair only 37% of people were duped first time around. The rest were screwed over by one Mr W Peters.

The second time it was Ardern v Collins, and so the marginally lesser of two evils prevailed.

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Thankfully she is gone. Good riddance.

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Yes, it supported a Ponzi.

But housing is merely a symptom of the bigger one. Global debt needs a home, and exponentially-more 'issued' debt, requires exponentially-more 'home'. Within a Bounded System (meaning: within a confined physical arena) that was always going to end in inflated valuations of EXISTING items; including houses. And GTHO Falcons. And and and... 

But it gets to the point where the amassed debt is (a) demonstrably getting bigger, and (b) is realistically unrepayable - sans massive de-valuation in the purchasing-power of a dollar, vis-a-vis buying bits of the planet (which is all we do). If people en masse lose faith in realistic repayment, it's all over Rover.

 

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We are quickly running out of greater fools. I don't believe there's enough liquidity in the market to support the debt, and it looks like things can go pear-shaped fairly quickly once panic sets in.

We've devalued the dollar in the west via credit creation - this inflation does not inflate away old debt but rather a symptom of the large debt itself - it's lagging. We're trying our goodest to deflate against absurd amounts of money owed, and that debt pile is looking bigger and bigger as assets fall.

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Isn't the plan to just import some new fools?

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We are quickly running out of greater fools. 

The end of the boomers. The growth game is up, the efficiency game has begun.

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Good post PDK, so what do you think is likely to happen if/when people realise the debt cannot be repaid?  What does "it's all over Rover" look like to you?

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Yvil - When trust is broken, trading freezes. Almost happened in '08, and we're miles further down the mineshaft since then. We either do eyeball-trust, or we have a system we trust. Absent the latter, how long does modern - particularly city - life continue? Days rather weeks, weeks rather than months, I posit. Think fossil energy coming to NZ, out-of-season everything, spare parts - it wouldn't take long.

This is why Steve Keen does his stuff - not that anyone listens.

This link is food for thought, as to why we're in this impasse, and just how local we might be afterwards:

https://www.cracked.com/article_14990_what-monkeysphere.html

go well

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Thanks for your reply PDK  

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PDK, I just eagerly clicked on your link, I think it's the wrong link, firstly it's over 15 years old and secondly it relates to monkeys with personalities… 

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This is why Steve Keen does his stuff - not that anyone listens

I listen to Steve Power. I also think that fossil fuels will not go away and I also believe in pursuing an abundant world of renewable energy. Then again, I can also envisage the outcomes you see (which seems similar to Planet of the Apes).    

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Yea nah fossil fuels won't just "go away" - we're currently backing our way into an EV corner, soon enough to be battery crisis and it all starts again. Renewable energy and sustainable fuels are biding their time.

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Expanding out of the "confined physical area" will allow us to progress. 

Spiraling debt upwards allows us to build the pressure for expansion prior to us becoming too desperate to be able to carry it out.  

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Is Elon or Jeff going to tow a diamond encrusted asteroid back to Earth and make us all rich?

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Derivative Market notional value is worth approx. $75k for every man, woman and child ($600T / 8B = $75k).

How are people working for $1 a day (not incl their families) going to earn $75k?

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The key word there FA is notional. No one has to find $600T so you can sleep easy.

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Phew, call it off then. 

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Yep, nobody has to repay debt.

You just do that by printing more, and rolling it over.

Easy peasy.

Those economists, they were onto something....

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Is this mess in or out of scope for the 'Rona review committee? 

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Out of scope.

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When the FLP was announced, the RBNZ decided to postpone a planned review of mortgage-backed security collateral standards - the most common type of collateral pledged by banks accessing FLP funds - until after the FLP ended, effectively giving banks the opportunity to offload bad debt onto the RBNZ in return for cheap money.

Now that the FLP is ending, I notice that they've decided to can that review altogether:

https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/financial-markets/domestic-markets/review-of-m…

With the housing market heading the way it is, the FLP risks winding up in the same way the LSAP did; with the RBNZ, and therefore the taxpayer, left holding an empty bag.

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When launching the FLP the Reserve Bank said it would make banks less reliant on more expensive deposits and wholesale borrowing, thus lowering their overall funding costs. Banks could then pass these reductions on to their borrower customers through lower mortgage and business lending rates.

I asked a NZ financial market professional this question:

Is there an internet source tabling NZ public counterparty (say banks etc) repurchase agreement interest rates for AAA securities collateral?

He replied:

As far as I am aware no such database exists. The closest is the RBNZ B2 table but that is an aggregate rate across secured and unsecured rates. The only other proxy is the RBNZ Standing repo facility at OCR minus 15bps, however we know the market trades inside that level, typically somewhere between OCR and OCR minus 10 bps.

The good news is the OCR interest payments the RBNZ receives from the FLP borrowing banks is an offset to its QE related bank reserve debt (Settlement cash balance), incurring a daily OCR cost, currently recorded at $54.527 billion.

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How does these securities as collateral fits in, versus the idea of banks create money for loans, which is limited by capital adequacy requirements?

 

Or money creation+ RBNZ money together being used for loans (mortgages) ?

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Banks don't take deposits and they never lend money. They are in the business of purchasing securities. When one gets a bank loan, the loan contract is a promissory note. The bank purchases that contract from the borrower. Now the bank owes the borrower money and it creates a record of the money it owes, which we call deposits - source.

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Thanks. Precisely.. then why do they need FIPs and all ? Why do they need to pledge their collateral to get money for customer mortgages ?

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[ Personal insult comment removed. If you have a valid argument or criticism, please make it. Misogynistic name-calling is not permitted here. Ed ]

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I find it truly bizarre that this programme has continued until now - actually even that it was implemented at all.

The guv knows that perception is one of his tools so quite why you would undermine your own actions is beyond me - reinforces a view that the guv is not really up to the job which further undermines confidence in what he wants to do

 

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The entire system, from the ruling parties, through policy and immigration to the reserve bank is set up to support the Ponzi. NZ taxpayers have been borrowing money at rates above the OCR and lending it to banks at the discounted OCR, so that the banks can profit through lending it back to NZ tax payers +2-3%. These are not our banks but foreign banks... taking our money offshore.

Corruption in plain sight. This should be front and centre of every media talk show at the moment but hardly gets a mention, because the media are an integral part of this corruption. 

 

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Well, that and the fact that the mainstream media are as economically illiterate as the average New Zealander.  An article on Jacinda's wedding plans would get more clicks than one on finance.  Besides, a question on finance would not get past the "first Jessica, then Tova" test.

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At least Jenee is still around in the mainstream. Coughlan seems to be all right too. Dann is just annoying.

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So 19 billion @ OCR of 4.75% is 903 mil. so the Banks have to pay 903 million interest a year to RBNZ. 

where does this money go? It would be another tax if these money lands in treasury's pocket, wouldn't it.

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At least the FLP ends today so the banks will no longer be in Goblin mode anymore.

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It only ends today because the OCR has risen too the point where the money is no longer cheap in relation to bond rates. If the differential still allowed thieving from the NZ taxpayer, Orr would be extending it. 

 

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Jim, the FLP ends today because this is the end date set when the programme was launched two years ago. That said, the loans are for three years. So whilst no new FLP money will be drawn down after today, some of the loans still have some time to run. Cheers.

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I am slightly confused on how the interests calculated on FLP, does anyone know it actually works?

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Third paragraph from the story above;

Offering three-year loans, the FLP allows eligible banks to borrow directly from the Reserve Bank at the Official Cash Rate (OCR) with the borrowing rate adjusting over the term of the transaction if the OCR changes. The OCR was 0.25% when the FLP launched and is 4.25% now.

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Back of the envelope, 3-year big 4 CDS averaging around 45bp gives us $19b * .45% * 3  = $260m direct subsidy to the banks (undiscounted) by the tax-payer.

The repo window has always been there if the banks really needed liquidity (same collateral as the FLP), but that is OCR + 50bp.

So the FLP has only ever been about "cheap" funding for banks, never about liquidity. Have the banks passed this onto the consumer? The cycnic in me doubts it.

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Turning illiquid mortgages into repo-able, mostly liquid instruments such as AAA rated RMBS are always eligible for O/N cheap funding, particularly in the giant US repo market. Currently in the US Interest Rate on Reserve Balances = 3.90%

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O/N repo doesn't count towards funding ratio's (NSFR, LCR) which the FLP will. A rather important point.

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Thanks for the response Gareth. However sticking to a corrupt policy because you promised to be corrupt until a certain date is the most ludicrous reason for keeping this program in place. The RBNZ has been tightening policy for a year because their foolishness generated inflation.. Yet one of the cornerstones of the stimulatory cycle is left in place. Why? Makes no sense and when something makes no sense it is because backs are being scratched. Then when our troubled media also dont go there,,, well that's confirmation for me. 

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I can assure you getting 3 year money at the (floating) OCR versus borrowing that money for 3 years in the market as a floating rate note (BKBM+margin), is still very cheap funding for the banks even if collateralised.

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Wouldn't it have been more efficient to simply mail a cheque to the Australian shareholders of the big banks, & avoided the annoying steps in between?

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Wouldn't it have been more efficient to simply mail a cheque to the Australian shareholders of the big banks, & avoided the annoying steps in between?

No, Because the credit mechanism for the ponzi is supposed to be good for the economic wellbeing of NZ. So you still need to create the debt obligation that enables all the economic goodness to stem from that debt. 

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Ah, but this way the Australian shareholders of the big banks get to keep milking more from Kiwi mortgage holders for years and years and years to come...

The Funding to Lure kiwis into more debt Program.

Pump the bubble, milk the debt.

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Nothing illustrates the extreme economic stupidity of this Govt and Orr than this - how anyone can justify pumping billions into the housing market while inflation was roaring is beyond me.  If you can create emergency measures overnight, you can uncreate emergency measures overnight.  Its called being accountable for your mistakes.  Besides, its just not credible that banks would believe that an "emergency measure" was going to be a source of long term funding.

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Most people were not complaining about credit creation for the Ponzi until quite recently. All was good. Only a few DGMers were even discussing the phenomenon. 

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I hope the Royal Commission of Enquiry looks at the FLP more critically than the RB did in its own review.  As the article notes there are serious concerns here.

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But banks says they raise money from wholesale markets, customer deposits etc

https://i.stuff.co.nz/business/money/130570693/why-dont-fixed-term-inte…

 

ANZ senior economist Miles Workman says banks’ “treasury” teams work constantly to source the money each bank needs in order to make loans.

The sources of bank money include households putting money in savings and other deposits at banks, but also banks borrowing from large investors, like pension funds, on international “wholesale” money markets.

The bank funding backing floating rate loans is short-term funding which is very sensitive to rises in the OCR, says Workman.

This is why floating rates tend to rise within a day or a few days of an OCR rise, he says.

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FLP was a trap, to stop people from fixing mortgages when the interest rate was low.

once you are in FLP , you can't get out of the scheme, unless you pay the amount saved which was really low.

now you missed the train of fixing a mortgage at a lower level and you will have to pay all the money saved, and interest rates grow and you can't do anything about it...

 

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I don't think this makes sense. Bank don't lend as FLP.. they still sell usual products only . But use money received via FLP

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